Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.210076e-01 3.011060e-01 0.395529 0.513189 0.653986 0.815234 1.011972
2026-02-08 1.227789e-01 2.166391e-01 0.346458 0.530368 0.775348 1.081891 1.485469
2026-02-15 6.400143e-02 1.522407e-01 0.296929 0.528525 0.867200 1.322528 1.957918
2026-02-22 3.802773e-02 1.221206e-01 0.283369 0.568931 1.017521 1.652845 2.575968
2026-03-01 2.094258e-02 9.541652e-02 0.263913 0.592705 1.143553 1.959383 3.185274
2026-03-08 1.007296e-02 7.133914e-02 0.238125 0.597183 1.236792 2.223623 3.751381
2026-03-15 3.922891e-03 5.071793e-02 0.208658 0.585520 1.298648 2.442378 4.262477
2026-03-22 1.497090e-03 3.889901e-02 0.193611 0.596792 1.397999 2.722576 4.875383
2026-03-29 3.921279e-04 2.876785e-02 0.176541 0.598385 1.477988 2.974882 5.456233
2026-04-05 3.171294e-05 1.937651e-02 0.153941 0.580404 1.517390 3.161393 5.942849
2026-04-12 5.746081e-12 1.274211e-02 0.134575 0.563810 1.555395 3.345353 6.430781
2026-04-19 NaN 9.009839e-03 0.123771 0.566034 1.629916 3.593765 7.028158
2026-04-26 NaN 5.193340e-03 0.105731 0.543029 1.651068 3.754372 7.498603
2026-05-03 NaN 3.969492e-03 0.103544 0.567519 1.776910 4.107027 8.293969
2026-05-10 NaN 2.501469e-03 0.095035 0.568984 1.851661 4.371379 8.953910
2026-05-17 NaN 2.186569e-03 0.098743 0.613397 2.027824 4.828189 9.945756
2026-05-24 NaN 1.629918e-03 0.097399 0.639450 2.163445 5.215509 10.832338
2026-05-31 NaN 9.829977e-04 0.090959 0.644680 2.250244 5.515291 11.580284
2026-06-07 NaN 4.522659e-04 0.081036 0.632612 2.293721 5.734740 12.198092
2026-06-14 NaN 2.486076e-04 0.077288 0.644657 2.397145 6.071836 13.024288
2026-06-21 NaN 1.030989e-04 0.071668 0.646408 2.474334 6.360604 13.773800
2026-06-28 NaN 1.836083e-05 0.062467 0.627435 2.495892 6.541199 14.340424
2026-07-05 NaN 6.525174e-07 0.054443 0.609902 2.518663 6.724111 14.914732